Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 69.977207 78.911765 88.058434 98.090322 108.752566 119.717159 131.815621
2025-07-27 55.707655 68.462287 82.127520 97.724921 114.909138 133.149643 153.863296
2025-08-03 46.682850 61.400215 77.726706 96.907770 118.571707 142.055500 169.217831
2025-08-10 40.580111 56.744216 75.232689 97.488489 123.137487 151.405307 184.565838
2025-08-17 35.002535 52.032494 72.100920 96.815647 125.825371 158.269362 196.797689
2025-08-24 30.832568 48.572666 70.063550 97.074538 129.288278 165.767030 209.531322
2025-08-31 26.677174 44.714307 67.203797 96.055364 131.005474 171.059230 219.578596
2025-09-07 24.111354 42.668564 66.384183 97.329659 135.292317 179.213775 232.821877
2025-09-14 22.000854 41.029684 65.921751 98.912735 139.846858 187.606510 246.286377
2025-09-21 19.211540 38.184675 63.700772 98.131646 141.402902 192.363633 255.433185
2025-09-28 16.273271 34.833918 60.590647 96.035763 141.195474 194.905481 261.880981
2025-10-05 15.586338 34.785824 61.893044 99.590770 147.966897 205.796138 278.188137
2025-10-12 14.416609 33.911753 62.030106 101.634031 152.893541 214.539158 292.059737
2025-10-19 12.600134 31.830340 60.361774 101.210410 154.657099 219.418047 301.315778
2025-10-26 10.868803 29.692494 58.475088 100.384657 155.823698 223.504444 309.571884
2025-11-02 9.690690 28.372303 57.687082 100.975989 158.755268 229.721791 320.370633
2025-11-09 8.323016 26.541232 56.028953 100.289537 159.972385 233.779112 328.526429
2025-11-16 7.313037 25.249106 55.102218 100.553718 162.381438 239.284180 338.419950
2025-11-23 6.141750 23.464691 53.305064 99.513556 163.017623 242.535216 345.534907
2025-11-30 5.538418 22.771395 53.180129 100.814084 166.726550 249.625711 357.344722
2025-12-07 5.044300 22.247535 53.290818 102.429549 170.842343 257.225282 369.784660
2025-12-14 4.201573 20.782810 51.778314 101.632507 171.686001 260.661954 377.081423
2025-12-21 3.271100 18.883340 49.413793 99.493549 170.650844 261.662184 381.327958